8 distinct tasks; 2 repetitions per task and harness version. Pass differences and cost means use equal task weights; pass counts include every selected attempt. Recorded verifier image/environment identities match within each task. Recorded configuration details are unavailable. Observed differences are not causal and do not establish future superiority. Exploratory 95% task-cluster intervals use 10,000 deterministic resamples; repetitions are not independent tasks or paired random seeds. No correction for multiple comparisons or winner selection. Secondary cost/token intervals describe means, not headline token medians. Original grades remain unchanged; corrected verification is a separate audit with limited replay coverage.
Time is agent end-to-end elapsed time, excluding setup and verification. All-outcome values include fast failures; successful timing uses only passes. Reference cost includes all selected outcomes and weights tasks equally. Unmeasured workflows: not measured.
cline @ 3.0.61
- Original passes
- 0 / 16 passes
- All-attempt reference cost / task
- $0.3082n=16; missing=0
- All-outcome agent time · median
- 20.31 minn=16; missing=0
- Successful agent time · median
- Unavailablen=0; missing=0
0 completed · 16 verification failures · 0 timeouts · 0 adapter errors
Mean $0.3082; exploratory 95% interval: $0.1730 to $0.4683n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
codex @ codex-cli 0.149.1
- Original passes
- 13 / 16 passes
- All-attempt reference cost / task
- $0.07716n=16; missing=0
- All-outcome agent time · median
- 8.131 minn=16; missing=0
- Successful agent time · median
- 8.238 minn=13; missing=0
13 completed · 3 verification failures · 0 timeouts · 0 adapter errors
Mean $0.07716; exploratory 95% interval: $0.06797 to $0.08644n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
hermes @ Hermes Agent v0.20.5 (2026.8.19)
- Original passes
- 9 / 16 passes
- All-attempt reference cost / task
- $0.1028n=16; missing=0
- All-outcome agent time · median
- 9.395 minn=16; missing=0
- Successful agent time · median
- 9.425 minn=9; missing=0
9 completed · 7 verification failures · 0 timeouts · 0 adapter errors
Mean $0.1028; exploratory 95% interval: $0.07257 to $0.1396n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
pi @ 0.73.1
- Original passes
- 13 / 16 passes
- All-attempt reference cost / task
- $0.06233n=16; missing=0
- All-outcome agent time · median
- 7.175 minn=16; missing=0
- Successful agent time · median
- 7.682 minn=13; missing=0
13 completed · 3 verification failures · 0 timeouts · 0 adapter errors
Mean $0.06233; exploratory 95% interval: $0.05310 to $0.07186n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
qwen @ 0.22.2
- Original passes
- 9 / 16 passes
- All-attempt reference cost / task
- $0.08001n=16; missing=0
- All-outcome agent time · median
- 8.759 minn=16; missing=0
- Successful agent time · median
- 6.743 minn=9; missing=0
9 completed · 7 verification failures · 0 timeouts · 0 adapter errors
Mean $0.08001; exploratory 95% interval: $0.06430 to $0.09732n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
Explain time, tokens and failure evidence together
API-active union (model_time) is proxy-observed API-active time including transport, not provider compute. Non-model residual (non_model_time) includes unobserved tools and harness work. Timing correlation is a hypothesis, not a diagnosed cause; these observations do not establish a full tool/harness split.
These are observed median, quartile and min–max distributions, not confidence intervals. Secondary token mean intervals do not replace the headline token medians. No winner-selection or multiple-comparison correction is applied.
cline @ 3.0.61
- All-outcome agent time · median
- 20.31 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 12.92 min to 44.01 min; range: 7.655 min to 101.8 min
- Successful agent time · median
- Unavailablen=0; missing=0Q1–Q3: Unavailable; range: Unavailable
- API-active union · median
- 17.46 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 10.66 min to 33.53 min; range: 6.64 min to 72.14 min
- Non-model residual · median
- 3.776 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 58.2 s to 6.473 min; range: 16.03 s to 32.09 min
- Requests per attempt · median
- 252.5n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 122.8 to 574.3; range: 77 to 1,267
- Cached input percent · median
- 96.44%n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 95.82% to 97.35%; range: 94.77% to 97.8%
- Input tokens · median
- 12,670,000n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 6,387,000 to 29,210,000; range: 3,874,000 to 57,170,000
- Output tokens · median
- 163,400n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 98,900 to 288,100; range: 69,660 to 604,500
Secondary input Mean 19,820,000; exploratory 95% interval: 11,380,000 to 29,380,000n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
Secondary output Mean 227,500; exploratory 95% interval: 138,900 to 329,100n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
Visibility: 0 none, 16 partial, 0 full. A visibility flag alone is not native timing qualification.
Evidence labels: 16 verification unknown. Verification-unknown does not diagnose an agent or verifier cause.
Selected run IDs (image/environment identities and request timelines in the linked evidence):
pinned:cline:cattrs-partial-structuring-recovery:0pinned:cline:cattrs-partial-structuring-recovery:1pinned:cline:happy-dom-deterministic-intersectionobserver:0pinned:cline:happy-dom-deterministic-intersectionobserver:1pinned:cline:ink-grid-box-layout:0pinned:cline:ink-grid-box-layout:1pinned:cline:psd-tools-blend-range-api:0pinned:cline:psd-tools-blend-range-api:1pinned:cline:superjson-error-stack-serialization:0pinned:cline:superjson-error-stack-serialization:1pinned:cline:textual-richlog-follow-state:0pinned:cline:textual-richlog-follow-state:1pinned:cline:tomlkit-toml-table-converters:0pinned:cline:tomlkit-toml-table-converters:1pinned:cline:true-myth-iterable-collection-combinators:0pinned:cline:true-myth-iterable-collection-combinators:1
Inspect run identities and measurements · Inspect bound failure evidence
codex @ codex-cli 0.149.1
- All-outcome agent time · median
- 8.131 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 6.785 min to 10.25 min; range: 4.179 min to 15.63 min
- Successful agent time · median
- 8.238 minn=13; missing=0Q1–Q3: 7.273 min to 10.09 min; range: 4.179 min to 15.63 min
- API-active union · median
- 6.46 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 5.912 min to 8.047 min; range: 3.698 min to 10.52 min
- Non-model residual · median
- 1.46 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 25.71 s to 2.351 min; range: 14.64 s to 5.715 min
- Requests per attempt · median
- 64n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 50.5 to 77.5; range: 30 to 95
- Cached input percent · median
- 98.57%n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 98.47% to 98.93%; range: 96.8% to 99.1%
- Input tokens · median
- 6,830,000n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 4,251,000 to 8,473,000; range: 2,412,000 to 11,510,000
- Output tokens · median
- 73,590n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 65,060 to 83,600; range: 43,700 to 102,100
Secondary input Mean 6,668,000; exploratory 95% interval: 5,344,000 to 7,972,000n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
Secondary output Mean 73,880; exploratory 95% interval: 65,160 to 83,250n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
Visibility: 0 none, 16 partial, 0 full. A visibility flag alone is not native timing qualification.
Evidence labels: 3 verification unknown; 13 pass. Verification-unknown does not diagnose an agent or verifier cause.
Selected run IDs (image/environment identities and request timelines in the linked evidence):
pinned:codex:cattrs-partial-structuring-recovery:0pinned:codex:cattrs-partial-structuring-recovery:1pinned:codex:happy-dom-deterministic-intersectionobserver:0pinned:codex:happy-dom-deterministic-intersectionobserver:1pinned:codex:ink-grid-box-layout:0pinned:codex:ink-grid-box-layout:1pinned:codex:psd-tools-blend-range-api:0pinned:codex:psd-tools-blend-range-api:1pinned:codex:superjson-error-stack-serialization:0pinned:codex:superjson-error-stack-serialization:1pinned:codex:textual-richlog-follow-state:0pinned:codex:textual-richlog-follow-state:1pinned:codex:tomlkit-toml-table-converters:0pinned:codex:tomlkit-toml-table-converters:1pinned:codex:true-myth-iterable-collection-combinators:0pinned:codex:true-myth-iterable-collection-combinators:1
Inspect run identities and measurements · Inspect bound failure evidence
hermes @ Hermes Agent v0.20.5 (2026.8.19)
- All-outcome agent time · median
- 9.395 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 7.938 min to 14.17 min; range: 4.381 min to 24.29 min
- Successful agent time · median
- 9.425 minn=9; missing=0Q1–Q3: 8.785 min to 15.54 min; range: 7.461 min to 21.32 min
- API-active union · median
- 7.353 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 6.502 min to 9.697 min; range: 3.857 min to 20.46 min
- Non-model residual · median
- 1.642 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 1.091 min to 3.912 min; range: 24.37 s to 7.605 min
- Requests per attempt · median
- 98.5n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 68.75 to 111.5; range: 33 to 195
- Cached input percent · median
- 98.94%n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 98.66% to 99.24%; range: 96.98% to 99.56%
- Input tokens · median
- 9,497,000n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 5,911,000 to 13,610,000; range: 2,305,000 to 44,120,000
- Output tokens · median
- 74,950n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 64,880 to 93,700; range: 43,960 to 192,200
Secondary input Mean 12,450,000; exploratory 95% interval: 7,016,000 to 18,980,000n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
Secondary output Mean 84,660; exploratory 95% interval: 65,720 to 108,500n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
Visibility: 0 none, 16 partial, 0 full. A visibility flag alone is not native timing qualification.
Evidence labels: 9 pass; 7 verification unknown. Verification-unknown does not diagnose an agent or verifier cause.
Selected run IDs (image/environment identities and request timelines in the linked evidence):
pinned:hermes:cattrs-partial-structuring-recovery:0pinned:hermes:cattrs-partial-structuring-recovery:1pinned:hermes:happy-dom-deterministic-intersectionobserver:0pinned:hermes:happy-dom-deterministic-intersectionobserver:1pinned:hermes:ink-grid-box-layout:0pinned:hermes:ink-grid-box-layout:1pinned:hermes:psd-tools-blend-range-api:0pinned:hermes:psd-tools-blend-range-api:1pinned:hermes:superjson-error-stack-serialization:0pinned:hermes:superjson-error-stack-serialization:1pinned:hermes:textual-richlog-follow-state:0pinned:hermes:textual-richlog-follow-state:1pinned:hermes:tomlkit-toml-table-converters:0pinned:hermes:tomlkit-toml-table-converters:1pinned:hermes:true-myth-iterable-collection-combinators:0pinned:hermes:true-myth-iterable-collection-combinators:1
Inspect run identities and measurements · Inspect bound failure evidence
pi @ 0.73.1
- All-outcome agent time · median
- 7.175 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 5.978 min to 9.584 min; range: 4.027 min to 12.59 min
- Successful agent time · median
- 7.682 minn=13; missing=0Q1–Q3: 5.901 min to 9.66 min; range: 4.027 min to 12.59 min
- API-active union · median
- 5.784 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 4.873 min to 6.268 min; range: 3.655 min to 9.585 min
- Non-model residual · median
- 1.273 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 22.09 s to 2.701 min; range: 13.89 s to 4.251 min
- Requests per attempt · median
- 57n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 49 to 66.25; range: 33 to 109
- Cached input percent · median
- 98.36%n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 98.17% to 98.53%; range: 97.59% to 99.17%
- Input tokens · median
- 4,443,000n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 2,989,000 to 5,413,000; range: 2,082,000 to 10,930,000
- Output tokens · median
- 58,260n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 52,520 to 71,780; range: 40,470 to 100,100
Secondary input Mean 4,687,000; exploratory 95% interval: 3,501,000 to 5,868,000n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
Secondary output Mean 63,140; exploratory 95% interval: 53,430 to 74,160n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
Visibility: 0 none, 16 partial, 0 full. A visibility flag alone is not native timing qualification.
Evidence labels: 13 pass; 3 verification unknown. Verification-unknown does not diagnose an agent or verifier cause.
Selected run IDs (image/environment identities and request timelines in the linked evidence):
pinned:pi:cattrs-partial-structuring-recovery:0pinned:pi:cattrs-partial-structuring-recovery:1pinned:pi:happy-dom-deterministic-intersectionobserver:0pinned:pi:happy-dom-deterministic-intersectionobserver:1pinned:pi:ink-grid-box-layout:0pinned:pi:ink-grid-box-layout:1pinned:pi:psd-tools-blend-range-api:0pinned:pi:psd-tools-blend-range-api:1pinned:pi:superjson-error-stack-serialization:0pinned:pi:superjson-error-stack-serialization:1pinned:pi:textual-richlog-follow-state:0pinned:pi:textual-richlog-follow-state:1pinned:pi:tomlkit-toml-table-converters:0pinned:pi:tomlkit-toml-table-converters:1pinned:pi:true-myth-iterable-collection-combinators:0pinned:pi:true-myth-iterable-collection-combinators:1
Inspect run identities and measurements · Inspect bound failure evidence
qwen @ 0.22.2
- All-outcome agent time · median
- 8.759 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 5.397 min to 11.42 min; range: 3.773 min to 21.33 min
- Successful agent time · median
- 6.743 minn=9; missing=0Q1–Q3: 5.466 min to 11.29 min; range: 3.773 min to 21.33 min
- API-active union · median
- 6.608 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 4.897 min to 8.495 min; range: 3.424 min to 13.71 min
- Non-model residual · median
- 1.22 minn=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 33.94 s to 2.551 min; range: 10.98 s to 11.71 min
- Requests per attempt · median
- 83n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 65.5 to 101.5; range: 37 to 142
- Cached input percent · median
- 99.05%n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 98.74% to 99.28%; range: 97.92% to 99.56%
- Input tokens · median
- 8,036,000n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 5,445,000 to 10,880,000; range: 2,738,000 to 20,860,000
- Output tokens · median
- 70,100n=16; missing=0Q1–Q3: 54,600 to 83,540; range: 36,980 to 128,700
Secondary input Mean 8,597,000; exploratory 95% interval: 5,996,000 to 11,440,000n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
Secondary output Mean 71,310; exploratory 95% interval: 58,890 to 85,080n=16; missing=0; 8 task clusters
Visibility: 0 none, 16 partial, 0 full. A visibility flag alone is not native timing qualification.
Evidence labels: 9 pass; 7 verification unknown. Verification-unknown does not diagnose an agent or verifier cause.
Selected run IDs (image/environment identities and request timelines in the linked evidence):
pinned:qwen:cattrs-partial-structuring-recovery:0pinned:qwen:cattrs-partial-structuring-recovery:1pinned:qwen:happy-dom-deterministic-intersectionobserver:0pinned:qwen:happy-dom-deterministic-intersectionobserver:1pinned:qwen:ink-grid-box-layout:0pinned:qwen:ink-grid-box-layout:1pinned:qwen:psd-tools-blend-range-api:0pinned:qwen:psd-tools-blend-range-api:1pinned:qwen:superjson-error-stack-serialization:0pinned:qwen:superjson-error-stack-serialization:1pinned:qwen:textual-richlog-follow-state:0pinned:qwen:textual-richlog-follow-state:1pinned:qwen:tomlkit-toml-table-converters:0pinned:qwen:tomlkit-toml-table-converters:1pinned:qwen:true-myth-iterable-collection-combinators:0pinned:qwen:true-myth-iterable-collection-combinators:1
Inspect run identities and measurements · Inspect bound failure evidence
Detailed timing report and request timelines · Download diagnostics